# PS10.1 for Example 10.1 open data10-1 help lags # Generate four lagged variables for M and D lags M D # Reset sample range and suppress first four observations smpl 1965.1 ; # Estimate kitchen sink model by OLS ols r const M D M_1 M_2 M_3 M_4 D_1 D_2 D_3 D_4 # Perform LM test for AR(4) genr ut=$uhat lags ut smpl 1966.1 ; # Auxiliary regression for LM test ols ut const ut_1 ut_2 ut_3 ut_4 M D M_1 M_2 M_3 M_4 D_1 D_2 D_3 D_4 genr LM=$trsq # p-value indicates significant fourth-order autocorrelation pvalue 3 4 LM # Reset sample range back and estimate AR(4) by Generalized CORC smpl 1965.1 ; ar 1 2 3 4 ; r const M D M_1 M_2 M_3 M_4 D_1 D_2 D_3 D_4 # omit all variables with p-values greater than 0.5 omit M_2 M_3 M_4 D_1 D_2 D_3 # omit variables one at a time omit D_4 omit D